By Emma Peterson. 

Want to take your estimating skills to the next level? Don’t miss the chance to learn in-person from industry expert John Kenney!  

John Kenney will be teaching an Advanced Roofing Estimating Workshop in Lakewood, Florida this coming November. John, CEO of Cotney Consulting Group, has an extensive history in the industry doing everything from installing millions of square feet of roofing systems to managing multi-branch operations and generating millions in annual revenue. This level of expertise makes him the perfect person to learn from. His classes take attendees through real-world examples so that they are not only knowledgeable about the theory of estimating but experienced in the realities of it as well.  

This two-day workshop will cover:  

• Evaluating opportunities and knowing when to bid, pass or wait  
• Reviewing plans, specifications and scope requirements  
• Identifying estimating risk before pricing is finalized  
• Validating labor, crew size and productivity assumptions  
• Developing complete direct and indirect project costs  
• Reviewing material, equipment and subcontractor costs  
• Protecting margin through proper contingency and cost allocation  
• Identifying scope gaps and unclear project requirements  
• Developing responsible and competitive bid strategies  
• Reviewing estimates before submission  
• Preparing a complete estimating-to-operations handoff  
• Using the results of completed projects to improve future estimates 

This is a great opportunity for roofing estimators, project managers, operations leaders and business owners to take their skills beyond quantity takeoffs and basic unit pricing into strategy and skills that will improve their business’ profitability and efficiency. 

For this training in particular, attendees should already have a fundamental knowledge of estimating. Coffee, drinks, snacks and lunch will be provided during both training days, and all classroom exercises can be completed by hand using paper, pencil and a calculator. Laptops and estimating software are welcome but are not required. 

After registration, attendees will automatically receive a welcome package, which includes event details, travel information, preparation guidance and a pre-workshop self-assessment. 

Learn more about the event and get registered!

By John Kenney, Cotney Consulting Group. 

The first hour on a jobsite isn't just another sixty minutes on the schedule. It's where preparation meets execution. 

I've walked onto enough roofing projects over the years to know that crews usually understand how the day is going to unfold long before lunch. Sometimes it takes less than an hour. 

The materials arrive where they're supposed to. The crew knows the plan. Equipment is ready. Everyone understands their role, and work begins with purpose. There isn't much discussion because the important conversations already happened before the first ladder was climbed. 

Other times, you can feel the difference almost immediately. People are standing around waiting for direction. Materials aren't where they need to be. Someone is looking for tools that should have been loaded the day before. The foreman is answering three different questions at once while trying to coordinate deliveries and speak with the project manager. The crew is moving, but very little meaningful work is getting done. 

The project hasn't failed. But it has already begun to drift. 

One lesson this industry has taught me is that roofing projects rarely get into trouble because crews suddenly stop working hard. More often, they struggle because the day starts without a clear plan. Once that happens, everyone spends the rest of the day trying to recover time that was never really recoverable. 

The first hour on a jobsite isn't just another sixty minutes on the schedule. It's where preparation meets execution. Everything leading up to that moment either supports the crew or creates obstacles they have to overcome. The estimate, material orders, scheduling decisions, project handoff, weather planning, equipment coordination and communication all arrive on the roof at the same time. If any one of those pieces is missing, the crew feels it immediately. 

I've always believed that crews deserve better than having to solve problems that should have been resolved before they arrived. Roofers are there to build roofs. They're not there to figure out why materials were delivered to the wrong location, why the crane wasn't confirmed, why another trade is occupying the work area or why yesterday's unanswered questions are suddenly today's emergency. 

Unfortunately, those situations happen far more often than they should. One thing I've noticed throughout my career is that experienced foremen don't just manage work. They manage momentum. 

They understand that once a crew finds its rhythm, production improves naturally. The opposite is also true. Every unnecessary interruption forces the crew to stop, regroup and start over again. Most people underestimate how much productivity is lost each time that rhythm is broken. 

That's why the first hour matters so much. A strong start creates confidence. The crew sees that leadership has prepared the job properly. Materials are staged where they're needed. The day's objectives are understood. Safety expectations have been reviewed. Everyone begins working from the same plan. Confidence grows. Communication becomes easier. Production follows. 

A poor start creates something entirely different. Questions replace direction. Assumptions replace planning. Frustration begins building before meaningful production has even started. Once that happens, the foreman isn't leading the project anymore. They're managing disruption. 

There's an important distinction between motion and progress. I've watched jobs where everyone looked busy from the ground. Trucks were unloading. Equipment was moving. People were walking across the roof carrying materials. It appeared productive. But when you looked more closely, much of that activity stemmed from the work not being properly organized. Being busy has never guaranteed meaningful progress. Strong operations understand the difference. 

I've also learned that successful mornings actually begin the day before. The best project managers don't wait until sunrise to think about tomorrow's work. They've already confirmed deliveries. They've reviewed weather forecasts. They've communicated with suppliers and subcontractors. They've anticipated questions before the crew ever asks them. 

By the time the first truck arrives, leadership is thinking about execution—not scrambling to solve yesterday's unfinished business. That level of preparation rarely happens by accident. It's part of the company's culture. 

One characteristic I've consistently seen in high-performing roofing companies is that preparation is viewed as productive work, not administrative work. Too often, planning is treated as something that gets done if there's extra time. In reality, planning creates the extra time. 

The strongest foremen I've worked with understand something that younger leaders often learn through experience. They know they cannot control every challenge the day will bring. Weather changes. Deliveries get delayed. Hidden conditions appear after tear-off. Those realities are part of roofing. 

What they can control is how prepared the crew is when those situations occur. Preparation doesn't eliminate surprises. It gives the team the capacity to handle them without losing control of the project. 

Another observation that's stayed with me over the years is that crews pay close attention to leadership, even when they don't say much. They notice whether the foreman arrives prepared. They notice whether project managers follow through on commitments. They notice whether problems are anticipated or constantly reacted to. Those observations shape confidence, and confidence influences performance. 

Good leadership isn't measured by how many problems you solve during the day. It's often measured by how many problems your preparation prevented from happening in the first place. 

I've never believed that roofing is won solely by working harder. It's won by removing obstacles before hard work begins.  That's why the first hour tells me so much. It reflects every operational decision that led up to it. It reveals whether estimating communicated effectively. Whether project management planned thoroughly. Whether leadership stayed ahead of the work instead of reacting to it. Whether the company built a process or hoped experience would fill the gaps. By the end of that first hour, the crew usually knows whether they're executing a plan or creating one as they go.  

The difference isn't always visible on the first day. But over the life of the project, it almost always shows up in production, quality, customer confidence and profitability. 

The best roofing companies don't rely on great recoveries. They rely on great beginnings. Because in this business, the first hour on the jobsite rarely determines everything. But it usually tells you where everything is headed. 

Por Alex Tolle, The Coffee Shops®, traducido por Alberto Torres 

Explora oportunidades educativas enfocadas en temas que van desde el rendimiento de los techos y la evolución de los códigos hasta el diseño de la envolvente del edificio y la administración de negocios durante el evento de este año. 

La educación continua brinda a los profesionales del techado la oportunidad de alejarse por un momento de las exigencias del día a día y conocer más a fondo los sistemas, materiales, requisitos y factores económicos que influyen en su trabajo. En el Western Roofing Expo 2026, organizado por la Western States Roofing Contractors Association, los asistentes podrán explorar una amplia variedad de seminarios diseñados para fortalecer sus conocimientos sobre techado, relacionar las decisiones técnicas con edificios de mejor rendimiento y ayudarlos a tomar mejores decisiones de negocio. 

El programa comienza con la evolución de los principales sistemas de techado. Ken Klein analizará cuatro décadas de sistemas de membrana de una sola capa (single-ply), incluyendo los cambios en materiales, métodos de fijación y detalles de instalación que han surgido a partir de la experiencia en el lugar de trabajo. Trent Cotney y John Kenney ofrecerán una perspectiva más amplia de la industria al analizar cómo los materiales para techos, la mano de obra especializada, los códigos y la tecnología han evolucionado con el paso del tiempo.

La resistencia al fuego es otro tema importante. Marco Sieber y Maury Alpert hablarán sobre cubiertas y capas base para techos que pueden ayudar a reducir los efectos de las llamas y las brasas en las zonas donde las áreas naturales se encuentran con las comunidades. Continuando con este tema, Jess Grandy analizará las nuevas regulaciones de ventilación y las opciones de ventilación resistentes al fuego diseñadas para ayudar a los propietarios de viviendas a preparar sus propiedades y cumplir con los códigos correspondientes. 

Los asistentes también podrán ampliar sus conocimientos sobre la humedad y el rendimiento de los techos ante diferentes condiciones climáticas. Phil Dregger compartirá los resultados de un estudio de tres años sobre la acumulación de agua y el deterioro de la madera debajo de sistemas de techado reflectantes. Mindy Dahlquist analizará cómo la retención de nieve, la ventilación, la geometría del techo y la selección de materiales afectan el rendimiento de los techos en climas fríos y mixtos del oeste de Estados Unidos. 

Varias sesiones se enfocarán en las responsabilidades de diseño y los cambios en los requisitos de construcción. Brian Chamberlain explicará las diferencias entre las expectativas de diseño y la cobertura incluida en las garantías publicadas por los fabricantes. Matt Braun analizará los nuevos requisitos para las barreras de aire en proyectos de reemplazo de techos y explicará cómo interactúan las capas de control de aire, humedad y temperatura. Brian también dirigirá una sesión sobre las conexiones entre el techo y los muros, abordando las filtraciones de aire, la resistencia al viento, la compatibilidad de los productos y la coordinación entre los diferentes oficios en uno de los puntos más importantes de la envolvente del edificio. 

Además de las sesiones enfocadas en temas técnicos, habrá otras dedicadas a la administración de negocios. Una de ellas será impartida por nuestra presidenta y directora ejecutiva, Heidi J. Ellsworth! En la sesión Roofing Trends That Matter, Heidi compartirá información del RoofersCoffeeShop 2025 Trends Report, que recopiló datos de encuestas realizadas a más de 200 profesionales del techado, incluyendo contratistas residenciales, comerciales y mixtos de empresas de diferentes tamaños. 

Durante esta presentación, los asistentes conocerán cómo los contratistas se están adaptando mediante la tecnología, el marketing digital y cambios en sus operaciones. También recibirán consejos prácticos sobre cómo utilizar el marketing, la tecnología y la participación en la comunidad para generar confianza, aumentar la visibilidad y fortalecer la estabilidad del negocio a largo plazo. 

En conjunto, estos seminarios ofrecen educación práctica para los profesionales que buscan mejorar la instalación, el diseño, el cumplimiento de códigos y normas, y el rendimiento de los techos a largo plazo. Algunas sesiones también ofrecen oportunidades de educación continua a través del American Institute of Architects (AIA) y el International Institute of Building Enclosure Consultants.

Obtén más información sobre las oportunidades educativas disponibles en el Western Roofing Expo 2026.

Conoce más sobre Western States Roofing Contractors Association (WSRCA) en su Coffee Shop Directory o visita www.wsrca.com. 

By Emma Peterson. 

From major industry announcements and scholarship awards to emerging market trends and wildfire preparedness, these were the RCS articles that got the most clicks this August.  

August was a month of announcements here at The Coffee Shops®! For our team, we launched a new microsite (www.RoofersCoffeeShop.ca) designed specifically for the Canadian market. Similar to our U.K. microsite (www.RoofersCoffeeShop.uk), this site will not only bring together contractors in its dedicated region but also strengthen the global roofing community.  

In addition to our big announcement, our site saw a lot of announcements and quite a few of them made our August 2026 top article list. For example, one of our R-Club members, Excel Roofing and Siding, sent out an announcement of a name change to Excel Slate and Copper. This change was designed to “better reflect the company’s long-standing expertise in slate roofing, copper craftsmanship and historic home restoration.”  

Another example was the Roofing Alliance’s announcement about the 2026-2027 Melvin Kruger Scholarship. “A total of $59,000 was awarded for new scholarships with an additional $55,000 for 12 renewal scholarships.” 

And coming in first and second on our August 2026 top 10 article list were two announcements, both from industry associations. In second place was an article about the Colorado Roofing Association’s new advisory about wildlife code requirements. As for first place, that went to the he Metal Roofing Alliance (MRA) and the Metal Construction Association (MCA)’s announcement of the results of metal roofing market study conducted by FMI Consulting. 

The top 10 August articles 

10 - Excel Roofing and Siding becomes Excel Slate and Copper

9 - Why the most successful roofing contractors plan further ahead by John Kenney. 

8 - TPO or metal retrofit? Understanding the tradeoffs by The Coffee Shops® 

7 - When the economic signals don’t agree by John Kenney. 

6 - Becoming a ROOFEREE by Emma Peterson. 

5 - The secret to managing commercial roofing projects by Emma Peterson. 

4 - The Roofing Alliance announces 2026-2027 Melvin Kruger Scholarship recipients.

3 - Heavy-duty adhesives for every jobsite by The Coffee Shops®. 

2 - New advisory helps Colorado roofers prepare for wildfire code requirements by Alex Tolle. 

1 - New market survey forecasts strong growth, significant potential for residential metal roofing in U.S. 

By Emma Peterson. 

Industry veteran John Kenney explains how stronger connections between Canadian and American contractors can drive innovation, education and long-term industry growth. 

In our first-ever Roofing Road Trip® Canada edition, John Kenney and Karol Weyman discuss how the launch of RoofersCoffeeShop.ca will help build bonds between the Canadian and American roofing markets. John is the CEO of Cotney Consulting Group and a roofing veteran with decades of field experience. In his own words, “I started in the roofing industry more than four decades ago and working on the roof and learning the trade from the ground up. From there, I moved through estimating, project management operations and eventually executive leadership. Those experiences gave me a practical understanding of nearly every part of the roofing company.” 

And over the course of that storied career, John has experienced the value of collaboration between Canadian and American professionals firsthand:  

As my consulting and training work expanded, I began receiving more opportunities to work with contractors and manufacturers and also industry organizations like the Canadian Roofing Contractors Association (CRCA) throughout Canada. Working further north was a natural progression and I've learned just as much from the Canadian contractors as I hope they have learned from me as every market and every company offers a different perspective. 

It is experiences like John’s that the RoofersCoffeeShop.ca microsite aims to foster. Because when we all learn from each other, we all grow stronger. John shared some insights related to this, saying, “The roofing industry definitely becomes stronger when we take the time to learn from one another. The challenges contractors face don't stop at any kind of national borders or provincial borders, but each market does approach solving them differently based on their environments and cultures.”  

By building a space where contractors can build relationships with their peers in a different country, RoofersCoffeeShop.ca is helping share ideas and solutions that benefit everyone. In John’s words, “The more we openly share ideas, I think the stronger the entire industry becomes.” 

Check out the whole episode to learn more about how the launch of RoofersCoffeeShop.ca is fostering industry-growing relationships.

By Emma Peterson. 

The importance of strong estimating practices in managing risk, protecting profitability and setting projects up for success. 

Estimating is the foundation of roofing projects – without an accurate assessment of a project, and the costs related to it, it's difficult to expect a project to go smoothly. But making sure your estimate is accurate is also one of the most challenging parts of a roofing project. To learn about how you can level up your estimating skills, we hosted John Kenney of Cotney Consulting Group for an episode of Roofing Road Trips®. 

Across the decades he has spent in the roofing industry, John has seen quite a few professionals struggle to build estimates. He shared the most common issue he sees, saying, “Estimators are taught how to measure roofs, how to price materials, but not how to manage the most important items, which is assumptions, communicate scope and company margins.”  

Why is it important that an estimator is aware of and managing these more abstract factors? As one of the first parts of any project, estimating is also the first step in risk management. John explained, “Estimating is really a decision-making role, not the takeoff one we see it presented as. As an estimator, you are the first to think through the project and make decisions about what will be done. That is directly tied to profitability and the risk.”  

So, how do you ensure you or your estimator are ready to tackle managing risk during the estimating process? Get the right training. John described how he trains estimators to go beyond the measurements and into risk management:  

We help them with estimating with a focus on giving them the skills that they won’t get in the field. So we focus on planning, communication, accountability and problem solving. Our goal is to give these leaders confidence and structure so they're not reacting all day. They're actually managing proactively. 

And managing proactively? That’s what shifts your estimating from just measurements and math to risk management and decision-making. And by making that shift, your company will be set up for successful, smooth projects. 

Want to learn more about estimator’s roles in risk management? Listen to the rest of the podcast!

By Jesse Sanchez. 

Industry leaders explain why financial discipline, diversification and customer education matter as roofing businesses navigate economic and insurance pressures. 

During a live Coffee Conversations® discussion at the Florida Roofing and Sheet Metal Association (FRSA), roofing professionals examined the pressures impacting contractor success across the United States. The panel agreed that shrinking backlogs, insurance changes and aggressive pricing are forcing companies to strengthen their operations rather than chase every available project. 

What market shifts are creating the most concern for contractors? 

As contractors adjust to a changing business environment, John Kenney, chief executive officer of Cotney Consulting Group, said several challenges are creating uncertainty at the same time. He shared: 

“I think insurance claims and understanding the industry’s new insurance rules are causing a lot of angst for contractors. AI, robotics and other technologies are also major issues people are trying to understand. Contractors are also watching prices, fuel costs and shrinking backlogs.”  

John encouraged contractors to use slower periods to improve their companies and pursue work that fits their established capabilities. Bridget Jenkins Wilson, owner of Cardinal Roofing, added that roofing is cyclical and contractors should prepare during strong years for the slower periods that follow. 

How can contractors move from storm-dependent work to retail sales? 

Changes in the insurance market are also pushing some roofing businesses to pursue more retail work. Adam Bensman of TAMKO® and the Roofing STRONG Alliance said this transition requires more than simply finding a different type of customer. He explained: 

“The hottest trend in roofing is the shift from storm-dependent to retail-driven business. I am seeing roofing companies that were built to catch or chase storms, but lack formal sales processes and structure, now trying to learn how to sell retail.”  

Adam warned that companies without structured sales processes may respond to pressure by discounting projects below sustainable levels. Bridget emphasized educating homeowners about policies, deductibles, materials and payment responsibilities rather than relying on high-pressure sales tactics. 

What should contractors prioritize during an economic slowdown? 

Although contractors cannot control the economy, John said they can improve their decision-making by developing a detailed understanding of their financial position. He noted, “Right now, you need to know your numbers, understand exactly what your overhead is and focus on the work your business is best suited to perform.”  

That financial clarity can help contractors avoid pursuing unprofitable work simply to keep crews busy. Marc Hansen of JobNimbus agreed that contractors need reliable systems for estimating, customer communication, payment collection and follow-up. Bridget also encouraged companies to examine everyday expenses, material waste and internal financial controls. 

The panel’s message was clear: Contractors cannot control market cycles, but they can control their pricing, processes and customer experience. Companies that understand their costs and serve homeowners transparently will be better positioned for the next phase of the market. 

Listen to the entire podcast or Watch the conversation to learn more about adapting a roofing business to economic and insurance changes. 

By John Kenney, Cotney Consulting Group. 

The best roofing companies are the companies that prevent more emergencies from occurring in the first place.  

After more than 45 years in the roofing industry, I have learned that successful roofing businesses rarely become successful because of one major decision. They improve because of hundreds of smaller decisions made correctly and consistently over time. 

It is the decision to review a tender carefully before submitting it, to hold a proper project handover before work begins on site, to order materials early enough to protect the programme and to give the site team complete information instead of expecting them to work everything out after installation has started. It is also the decision to address a small problem before it becomes an expensive one. None of these actions appears extraordinary on its own, but together they create operational excellence. 

I have worked with roofing contractors of different sizes, structures and specialities throughout my career. Some have focused on commercial roofing, while others have worked in pitched roofing, service, maintenance, waterproofing or specialist systems. Although terminology, contracts and regulations vary between markets, the operational challenges are often remarkably similar. 

Companies struggle with incomplete information, projects are handed over too quickly, labour is scheduled without enough planning and materials arrive late or in the wrong sequence. Site teams are then asked to make decisions that should have been resolved before mobilisation, while commercial issues are sometimes identified only after the work has already been completed. 

A lack of effort rarely causes these problems. Most roofing businesses are filled with hardworking people. The problem is usually that the company depends too heavily on effort and not enough on process. 

Hard work cannot replace a reliable system 

Many roofing companies operate through what I call organisational heroics. A few experienced people carry an enormous amount of knowledge in their heads. They remember the important details, solve problems quickly and step in whenever something begins to go wrong. The company appears to function because these individuals continually rescue it. 

That approach may work for a period of time, particularly when the business is small. Eventually, however, the workload grows beyond what a handful of people can manage. Projects become larger, tender opportunities increase, clients expect faster communication and contract requirements become more demanding. At the same time, the number of operatives, suppliers, subcontractors and active sites expands. 

At that point, experience alone is no longer enough. The business needs repeatable systems that enable experienced people to share their knowledge with the rest of the organisation. 

A strong system does not remove judgement. It supports good judgement by ensuring that the same important questions are asked on every project, regardless of who is managing it. What did the estimator include in the tender? What was excluded or qualified? Which materials have long lead times? What access equipment and plant will be required? What labourresources were assumed? What information is still outstanding? What risks could affect the programme? What must be confirmed before the team arrives on site? 

When these questions are built into a consistent process, the company becomes less dependent on memory and more capable of delivering predictable results. 

Operational excellence begins before work reaches site 

Roofing contractors often measure operational performance by what happens during installation. They review productivity, monitor labour hours, inspect quality and track whether the project is progressing to programme. All of that matters, but the site team's performance is often determined long before the first operative arrives. 

A project that begins with incomplete information is already at a disadvantage. If the tender has not been properly reviewed, the project manager may not understand the assumptions underlying the price. If procurement starts too late, the programme may be affected before work begins. If access, storage or lifting requirements have not been coordinated, the site team loses time resolving preventable problems. If the contract documents contain conflicting information, those conflicts should be identified early rather than discovered during installation. 

Operational excellence therefore begins during estimating and tender review. Estimating is not simply the process of calculating quantities and applying rates. It is the beginning of project management. The estimator is often the first person in the business to study the drawings, specifications, scope of works and site requirements in detail. The information gathered during that process must be transferred clearly to the people responsible for delivering the project. 

Without that transfer, the business effectively starts again after the contract is secured. The same documents are reviewed twice, the same questions are asked again, important assumptions are lost and potential risks are overlooked. A proper handover protects the knowledge already created during the tendering process and gives the delivery team a much stronger starting point. 

Consistency is more valuable than occasional brilliance 

Every roofing company has excellent days. The tender is accurate, the materials arrive on time, the site team performs well, the client is satisfied and the project is completed profitably. The real question is whether the business can consistently produce that result. 

One successful project does not prove that the company has a strong operating system. It may simply mean that the right people happened to be involved and conditions worked in the contractor’s favour. Operational excellence is measured by repeatability. Can the company deliver the same quality when several projects are active at once? Can it maintain communication when key members of staff are away? Can a newer project manager follow the process and produce a reliable result? Can the business identify declining performance before the financial damage becomes serious? Can lessons learned on one project improve the next tender and the next site? 

The strongest roofing businesses do not rely on everything going perfectly. They develop systems that allow them to respond when conditions change. Weather affects the programme. A supplier changes a delivery date. The client revises access requirements. Existing conditions differ from the information provided. An operative becomes unavailable. A variation requires additional labour and materials. 

These events are part of construction. Operational excellence does not mean preventing every problem. It means creating a business capable of identifying problems early, communicating clearly and responding in a controlled way. 

Leadership creates the operating standard

Processes matter, but processes only work when leadership reinforces them. A company can write the best procedures in the industry and still achieve poor results if managers ignore them whenever the business becomes busy. In fact, busy periods are when systems matter most. 

When pressure increases, people tend to return to old habits. Meetings are shortened, handover documents are left incomplete, site reports are delayed, procurement decisions are made verbally without proper records and commercial issues are postponed. Everyone focuses on the immediate problem in front of them. That is understandable, but it is also dangerous. 

Leadership must make it clear that following the operating process is not additional work. It is how the work is controlled. This requires more than issuing instructions. Leaders must explain why the process matters. A complete site report is not paperwork for the sake of paperwork. It protects the contractor by recording progress, labour, delays, instructions, deliveries and site conditions. A tender review is not an administrative exercise. It helps the business assess whether the price reflects the project's risks and requirements. A pre-start meeting is not a formality. It allows the project team to resolve questions before those questions begin costing money. 

People are more likely to follow a process when they understand how it protects them, the project and the business.

Improvement must become part of the routine 

Operational excellence is not a final destination. No company completes one round of process improvements and remains efficient forever. Clients change, contract requirements change, materials and systems evolve, technology develops, the workforce changes and the business grows. Processes that worked when the contractor managed five active projects may not work when it manages 20. 

For that reason, roofing businesses need a regular method for reviewing performance. The company should compare the estimate with the actual project cost, examine which activities used more labour than expected and review whether variations were promptly identified and valued. It should also ask whether the site team received the information it needed, what caused delays, what the client communicated during and after the project and what should be repeated or changed next time. 

These conversations should not be used to assign blame. They should be used to improve the system. When people believe that every review is an attempt to identify who made a mistake, they stop sharing useful information. When the purpose is improvement, the company can turn individual experience into organisational knowledge. 

That is one of the most valuable assets a roofing business can build. 

Predictable performance is the real advantage 

Roofing will always involve uncertainty. No operating system will eliminate weather, supply disruption, labour challenges, unexpected site conditions or changing client demands. What a strong system does is make the business less vulnerable to them. 

It gives leaders better information, helps estimators understand actual performance, allows project managers to plan further ahead and gives site teams clearer direction. It also improves communication with clients and protects quality, programme and margin. Most importantly, it makes successful performance more predictable. 

The best roofing companies are not necessarily the ones working the longest hours or solving the most emergencies. They are the companies that prevent more emergencies from occurring in the first place. 

That does not happen by accident. It is built through disciplined planning, clear expectations, consistent communication and a willingness to improve how the business operates every day. 

That is operational excellence. 

About the author 

John Kenney has more than 45 years of experience in the roofing industry. His career has included every level of roofing operations, from field installation and estimating through executive leadership. He is the CEO of Cotney Consulting Group, a partner member of the International Federation for the Roofing Trades. He has earned the MIoR designation from the former Institute of Roofing in the United Kingdom. He works with roofing contractors to improve estimating, project management, operational performance, leadership and profitability. 

By Alex Tolle, The Coffee Shops®.

Explore education focused on everything from roof performance and evolving codes to building-envelope design and business management at this year's show.

Continuing education gives roofing professionals an opportunity to step away from daily demands and take a closer look at the systems, materials, requirements and economic forces shaping their work. At the Western Roofing Expo 2026, hosted by Western States Roofing Contractors Association, attendees can explore a broad seminar lineup designed to strengthen roofing knowledge, connect technical decisions to better-performing buildings and help them make better business deciscions. 

The program starts with the evolution of core roofing systems. Ken Klein will examine four decades of single-ply roofing, including changes in materials, attachment methods and detailing driven by jobsite experience. Trent Cotney and John Kenney will offer a wider industry perspective by tracing how roofing materials, craftsmanship, codes and technology have developed over time.

Fire resilience is another important focus. Marco Sieber and Maury Alpert will discuss roof coverings and underlayments that can help mitigate the effects of flame and embers in the wildland-urban interface. Building on that conversation, Jess Grandy will review developing ventilation regulations and fire-resistant vent options intended to help homeowners prepare their properties and meet applicable codes. 

Attendees can also deepen their understanding of moisture and climate-related performance. Phil Dregger will share findings from a three-year study involving water accumulation and wood decay below reflective roofing. Mindy Dahlquist will explore how snow retention, ventilation, roof geometry and material selection affect roof performance in cold and mixed climates across the western United States. 

Several sessions turn attention to design responsibilities and changing building requirements. Brian Chamberlain will clarify the differences between design expectations and manufacturers’ published warranty coverage. Matt Braun will examine emerging air-barrier requirements for reroofing and explain how air, moisture and thermal-control layers interact. Brian will also lead a session on roof-to-wall connections, addressing air leakage, wind resistance, product compatibility and trade coordination at one of the building envelope’s most important junctions.

In addition to the technically focused sessions, there are sessions that focus on business management. One such session will be taught by our President and CEO, Heidi J. Ellsworth! In the session, Roofing Trends That Matter, Heidi will share about the RoofersCoffeeShop 2025 Trends Report, which collected contractor survey data from more than 200 roofing professionals representing residential, commercial and mixed contractors of all sizes. Attendees of this presentation will "gain insight into how contractors are adapting through technology, digital marketing and operational changes" and get practical tips for using "marketing, technology and community involvement to build trust, increase visibility and strengthen long-term business stability."

Together, these seminars offer practical education for professionals working to improve installation, design, compliance and long-term roof performance. Select sessions also provide continuing education opportunities through the American Institute of Architects and the International Institute of Building Enclosure Consultants.

Learn more about the education available at the Western Roofing Expo 2026.

By John Kenney, Cotney Consulting Group. 

How roofing contractors should plan for slower growth, uneven demand and continued volatility.

If you are having trouble deciding what the economy is telling you right now, you are not alone. The signals do not agree. 

Total nonfarm payroll employment declined by 23,000 jobs in July, while construction added 22,000. The unemployment rate edged down to 4.1%, even as labor-force participation remained at 61.4%. The broader economy is still growing, but not rapidly. Real GDP increased at a 1.5% annual rate in the second quarter, down from 2.1% in the first quarter. 

National construction backlog still looks reasonably healthy, yet architecture billings remain weak. Some contractors are carrying significant amounts of work, while others are telling me their runway is getting noticeably shorter. Data centers and power-related construction continue to perform extremely well, while several traditional commercial and residential markets remain much softer. 

Depending on which number you look at, you can make a case that the economy is still growing, the labor market is weakening or construction is holding up better than other sectors. All three can be true at the same time. 

That is a difficult environment to plan around, but it does not make planning impossible. I do not believe the current data tells us a severe recession is inevitable. I also do not believe it gives roofing contractors much reason to assume everything will work itself out. 

The more prudent position is somewhere in between. For business planning, I would operate on the assumption of slower growth, increasingly uneven demand, continued cost volatility, and elevated policy risk, while maintaining sufficientliquidity and operating flexibility to handle a genuine downturn if several of these pressures converge. 

That may not be the most exciting forecast, but it may be the most useful one. 

The headline economy is not the contractor economy 

One of the biggest mistakes business owners can make is assuming national economic statistics describe what is happening inside their company. They do not. Roofing contractors do not operate at the national average. 

They operate within a specific geographic area, serve a particular customer base, operate in certain market sectors, and depend on specific general contractors, owners, manufacturers, and suppliers. That means two roofing companies located a hundred miles apart can experience completely different economies. 

One contractor may be heavily exposed to data centers, health care, power generation or public-sector work and have more opportunities than the company can reasonably pursue. Another may depend heavily on retail, traditional office, private development or residential construction and find projects moving slower, owners hesitating, and competition becoming much more aggressive. 

Both companies are operating in the same national economy. They are simply experiencing different versions of it. That distinction matters when preparing a business plan. 

The question should not simply be, “How is construction doing?” The better question is, “How are the markets we depend on doing?” 

Construction is splitting into different markets 

The current backlog numbers illustrate the problem. Associated Builders and Contractors reported national construction backlog at 8.8 months in June. On the surface, that appears healthy. Look deeper, and the story becomes more complicated. 

Contractors involved in data-center work reported a backlog of 11.0 months, compared with 8.5 months for contractors without data-center exposure. Earlier in the year, ABC also reported that backlog growth was concentrated among the largest contractors, while smaller revenue groups showed weaker year-over-year results. 

That tells me we do not have one construction market right now. We have several. Data centers remain extremely strong, power-related construction continues to attract significant investment, and certain infrastructure and institutional sectorsremain active. 

At the same time, parts of manufacturing, private commercial development, office construction, and residential activity remain under pressure. Strong markets are becoming even stronger, while weak markets are becoming even weaker. 

The national average sits somewhere between the two and may accurately describe neither. That is why roofing executives need to understand their own market mix much better than they understand the national average. 

Backlog may be sending the wrong signal 

I have always paid close attention to backlog. It is one of the most important forward-looking indicators for a roofing company, but backlog must be understood correctly. A contractor can have plenty of work under contract and still have a production problem developing. 

I believe there are really three kinds of backlog. Reported backlog is the work you have under contract. Executable backlog is the work you realistically expect to move into production during the period planned. Profitable backlog is executable work that still meets the company’s margin expectations. 

Those numbers are not always the same. A roofing contractor may have a large project under contract today that is not scheduled to reach the roofing scope for another six months. If financing, permitting, another trade or the general construction schedule pushes that project back another 90 days, the project technically remains in backlog. However, the crew that was supposed to start that roof in October still needs somewhere to work. 

That is the difference between reported backlog and executable backlog. 

In my work with roofing and specialty contractors, I generally consider a quality, executable backlog of six months or more a healthy operating position. When the backlog approaches three months, I want leadership to monitor the bidding pipeline, award timing, and project start dates very closely. When it approaches two months, I become concerned because a single project delay, a lost award or a customer financing issue can quickly create a production gap. 

That is not a published national industry standard. It is an operating benchmark developed from years of managing and advising roofing companies. 

Right now, I am hearing more concern from roofing contractors around the country about shorter backlog visibility, delayed starts, and work that does not feel as certain as it did several months ago. That field feedback deserves attention. 

A contractor with nine months of reported backlog but only four months of reliably executable work has a four-month problem, not a nine-month solution. 

Labor is weakening without becoming easy 

The labor market is sending another mixed signal. National hiring has slowed significantly. May and June payroll gains were revised lower, and total nonfarm employment declined in July. Labor-force participation has also fallen since the beginning of the year. 

Those are legitimate signs of a cooling labor market, but roofing contractors should not assume that means skilled people will suddenly become easy to find. They will not. 

A slower national economy may increase the number of people seeking work, but it does not automatically create experienced roofing estimators, project managers, superintendents, service technicians or foremen. Those skills take years to develop. 

Our industry is also dealing with a generational transition as experienced people retire and companies compete for a limited pool of proven talent. That creates another planning challenge. 

Contractors should be cautious about adding overhead simply because they expect future growth. They should be equally cautious about cutting experienced people too quickly because the economic headlines turn negative. Replacing a strong estimator or project manager twelve months from now may be much more difficult than retaining that person through a slower period. 

The forward pipeline deserves attention 

Backlog tells us what contractors already have. Architecture and design activity can tell us something about what may be coming. That is why I believe the Architecture Billings Index deserves attention. 

The June Architecture Billings Index came in at 47.3, remaining below the 50 level associated with growth. Architecture-firm backlog also declined from 6.6 months in the first quarter to 6.3 months in the second quarter. 

I would not use that information to predict a construction collapse. I would use it as another reason not to become complacent. Design work occurs well before construction, and when design activity remains weak for an extended period, it can eventually result in fewer projects reaching the bidding stage. 

That becomes particularly important as contractors begin developing their 2027 budgets. The work you are installing today was often designed and financed many months ago. The condition of the design pipeline today may tell us more about the opportunities available next year. 

Delays may matter more than cancellations 

There is another issue I believe contractors sometimes underestimate. Projects do not have to disappear to hurt your business. They only need to move. 

Contractor surveys this year have continued to show a significant number of projects postponed, scaled back or canceled. From an operational standpoint, a postponement can sometimes be nearly as disruptive as a cancellation. 

Imagine you have a $2 million roofing project scheduled to begin in October. The owner still intends to build it, the contract still exists, and the project remains in your backlog. But financing problems push the start into February. 

Your backlog report may barely change, while your October production schedule changes dramatically. Now you have crews without the work you expected, equipment sitting idle, overhead continuing, and cash flow shifting. Other jobs may need to be accelerated to fill the hole. 

That is why contractors need to talk with general contractors and owners about more than whether a project is still active. Ask whether the start date is still realistic. That conversation can be far more valuable than simply looking at the backlog report. 

Costs have not returned to normal 

A slowing economy would be easier to manage if costs were declining at the same time. That is not necessarily the environment contractors are operating in. 

July’s inflation reports are a good example of why the headlines can be misleading. Consumer prices rose only 0.1% in July, and the annual inflation rate eased slightly to 3.4%. Producer prices were flat overall for the month. That soundsencouraging, and it is, but it does not mean prices are falling. 

If inflation drops from 4% to 3%, that does not mean prices fell 1%. It means prices are still increasing, just at a slower rate than before. The same distinction matters on the producer side. Even with no overall increase in July, producer prices were still 4.7% higher than a year earlier. 

For construction, the picture was even more important. Construction input prices edged up 0.1% in July and remained 7.4% higher than a year earlier. A lower inflation rate can slow the erosion of margins, but it does not automatically restore them. 

Material prices remain elevated, insurance continues to pressure overhead and skilled labor costs remain high. Fuel and freight can change quickly and recent disruptions involving global refinery capacity and major shipping routes are another reminder that energy costs can move independently of the broader economic cycle. Financing also remains expensive compared with the environment contractors grew accustomed to years ago. 

That creates one of the more difficult combinations for any business. Slower growth reduces pricing power, higher costs squeeze margins, and shorter backlog increases the temptation to chase work. 

That is where discipline matters. The worst response to a weakening market can be filling the schedule with low-margin work simply because everyone is worried about keeping crews busy. 

Busy and profitable are not the same thing. That lesson becomes even more important when the market starts slowing. 

Build a plan that does not require you to be right 

This is the part I believe matters most as contractors prepare for 2027. The best business plan in an uncertain economy is not the one built around the most accurate forecast. It is the one that still works when the forecast is wrong. 

I would build next year’s plan around three scenarios. The base case assumes slower growth, uneven construction demand, and continued cost volatility. The upside case assumes financing improves, project starts accelerate, and demand begins broadening across more construction sectors. 

The downside case assumes several pressures converge at the same time: employment weakens further, financing becomes more difficult, project delays increase, the backlog declines, and cost pressures remain. 

I am not suggesting contractors build three separate companies or three completely different budgets. I am suggesting leadership understand what happens under each scenario. 

What happens to revenue and gross margin? How much backlog and cash do we need? When do we stop hiring or adjust overhead? Which capital expenditures can wait? Which investments continue regardless of conditions? At what point does declining executable backlog trigger a change in strategy? 

Those decisions are much easier to make today than when everyone is already under pressure. 

Liquidity is strategic flexibility 

Cash is sometimes treated as money simply sitting on the balance sheet. During uncertain markets, liquidity is much more valuable than that because it creates options. 

It allows a company to retain a strong employee through a temporary slowdown, purchase materials earlier when there is a legitimate financial advantage, absorb a delayed project, and pursue an opportunity when a competitor cannot. 

Most importantly, liquidity prevents desperation. Companies under financial pressure often make poor decisions because they run out of time. They bid projects they should not bid, accept margins they should not accept, borrow under unfavorable terms, delay necessary investments, and make personnel decisions based on what happens next week rather than where the company needs to be next year. 

Liquidity buys time, and time creates better decisions. 

Do not cut away your ability to grow 

Preparing for slower growth does not mean putting the company into recession mode. That would be another mistake. 

If conditions weaken, contractors should absolutely challenge overhead, delay unnecessary purchases, protect cash, review expenses, and improve collections. But there is a difference between eliminating waste and eliminating capacity. 

Your strongest estimator is capacity. Your best project manager is capacity. Your service department is capacity. Leadership development is capacity. Technology that improves estimating, project visibility, and job costing may also be capacity. 

A contractor can cut so deeply during a slowdown that the company survives the downturn but is unable to take advantage of the recovery. That is why I prefer flexibility over fear. 

Protect the capabilities that make the company stronger. Challenge the expenses that do not. 

What I would be doing going into 2027 

If I were sitting with a roofing contractor today, preparing next year’s business plan, I would begin with the executable backlog rather than the total backlog. 

I would review what is realistically scheduled at 30, 60, 90, 180, and 270 days, then stress-test it. What happens if one large project is delayed by 90 days? What happens if two projects move? Which customers represent the greatest concentration risk? Which jobs still depend on financing or other approvals? Which projects have aggressive margin assumptions? 

I would review the bid pipeline and hit rates. I would increase business development before backlog becomes critical rather than waiting until crews need work. I would watch collections and cash conversion closely, preserve available credit even if I did not expect to use it, challenge major capital expenditures, and protect strong people and productive operating capacity. 

Most importantly, I would establish clear trigger points for when the company changes course. If the executable backlog falls below a predetermined level, what actions are taken? If gross margin misses plan for two consecutive months, what gets reviewed? If accounts receivable starts to stretch, who owns the response? If major projects move, when does labor planning change? 

Those decisions should not be made for the first time during a crisis. The time to make them is now. 

Planning without pretending to know the future 

I do not believe roofing executives should plan as though a recession is inevitable. I also do not believe they should assume today’s economic pressures will work themselves out. 

The more prudent position lies between those two extremes. Build the company around a reasonable expectation of slower growth, increasingly uneven demand and continued cost volatility. Maintain enough liquidity and operating flexibility to withstand a genuine downturn if several pressures converge. 

At the same time, preserve enough capacity to take advantage of opportunity if conditions improve. 

The economic signals may continue to disagree. That does not mean leadership has to be uncertain. We do not need to know exactly what the economy will do next. We need to build roofing companies capable of succeeding under more than one outcome. 

That is not pessimism. It is responsible business planning.